Market & Economic Trend February 2021 ( updated month end )
( Tactical Variables Trends as described in Part 2 of E-Books )
Signaling Logic states:
a) Economic Trend = Positive Market Trend = Positive .. hold equity based assets ( Table 1 below )
b) Economic Trend = Positive Market Trend = Negative .. hold equity based assets
c) Economic Trend = Negative Market Trend = Negative .. hold bonds / cash ( Table 2 Below )
d) Economic Trend = Negative Market Trend = Positive .. hold equity based assets
e) Economic Trend = Negative Market Trend turns from Positive to Negative .. hold bonds cash
The tactical strategy is signaling an "a" state ( hold equity assets )
with last signal date June 2020 ( see Table 1 below )
Economic Trend = Positive
( Index reading = + 3.5% )
Market Trend = Positive
( S&P 500 "price" above Moving Average )
Table 1
Table 2
CYR Variable = neutral
S&P 500 Return
2018 = - 4.2% 2019 = + 30.5%