Market & Economic Trend  October 2020 ( updated month end )

( Tactical Variables Trends as described in Part 2 of E-Books )

  

Signaling Logic states: 

a) Economic Trend = Positive   Market Trend = Positive   .. hold equity based assets  ( Table 1 below )

b) Economic Trend = Positive   Market Trend = Negative  .. hold equity based assets

c) Economic Trend = Negative  Market Trend = Negative  .. hold bonds / cash  ( Table 2 Below )

d) Economic Trend = Negative  Market Trend = Positive   ..  hold equity based assets

 

e) Economic Trend = Negative  Market Trend turns from Positive to Negative .. hold bonds cash

The tactical strategy is signaling a "d" state ( hold equity assets )

 

with last signal date June 2020 ( see Table 1 below )

Economic Trend = Negative 

( Index reading = - 8.1% )

Market Trend = Positive

( S&P 500 price above Moving Average )

      Table 1

Table 2

CYR Variable = neutral

S&P 500 Return

2018 = - 4.2%   2019 =  + 30.5%

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