Market & Economic Trend  June 2021 ( updated month end )
( Tactical Variables Trends as described in Part 2 of E-Books )
  
Signaling Logic states: 


a) Economic Trend = Positive   Market Trend = Positive   .. hold equity based assets  ( Table 1 below )

b) Economic Trend = Positive   Market Trend = Negative  .. hold equity based assets

c) Economic Trend = Negative  Market Trend = Negative  .. hold bonds / cash  ( Table 2 Below )

d) Economic Trend = Negative  Market Trend = Positive   ..  hold equity based assets
 
e) Economic Trend = Negative  Market Trend turns from Positive to Negative .. hold bonds cash




The tactical strategy is signaling an "a" state ( hold equity assets )
 
with last signal date June 2020 ( see Table 1 below )

 

Economic Trend = Positive
( Index reading = + 5.5% )

Market Trend = Positive
( S&P 500 "price" above Moving Average )

      Table 1

Table 2

CYR Variable = neutral

S&P 500 Return

2018 = - 4.2%   2019 =  + 30.5%